Saturday, October 19, 2013

Is this what it's like to play AGAINST the Bears?

That is the note I wrote down after Jay's second INT. All these turnovers and a defensive score on top of a special teams score sure are tough to overcome. And yet, somehow we did. This offense is so much fun to watch. The scary part is that it's still a new offense being learned. The potential here is very exciting.

On the other side of the ball, you have to love the job we did against A.P. today. But what happened to the pass rush? Corey Wootton spent some time in the backfield early, but Minnesota consistently had a clean pocket as the game went on. Have to hope that we can get more pressure moving forward.

Other notes I jotted down during the game included:

"Bushrod makes me nervous sometimes". You too?

"Hester has lost a little speed, but DAMN he looks good again!!"

"LOVE the move on 2nd and 2 from the 3 yard line to spread the field and then run up the gut. If Bush is in for that play, he scores." I'm as big a fan of Matt Forte as anyone, but he is clearly an inferior short yardage back and I hope we utilize Bush more in these situations.

On the very next play... "LOVE the call on 1st and goal to throw out of a big, bunched set. That's an easy TD if Jay puts some air under that pass."

"Tim Jennings has been a STUD ever since he was benched in week 16 of 2011 for dropping 2 potential INT's the week before". I HATED the move to bench him at the time (it directly helped contribute to a torching by Aaron Rodgers), but I'm loving the results now. Thanks Lovie. Truly a great move.

The personnel breakdown looks similar to last week. Here it is:
As you can see, we're still about 2:1 passing out of 11 personnel and 4:1 passing out of 12 personnel. Almost identical to last week, we ran the ball at a 3:2 ratio out of 21 personnel this week. We'll likely stop charting these week by week, especially if they remain similar, and will instead begin to focus on 4-week averages, since that is what NFL teams focus on as well. Be assured, though, that if anything out of the ordinary happens, we'll be sure to discuss the strategy of those moves here.

Saturday, September 14, 2013

We're Back!!

Alright, boys and girls, we are back in action! Had a lot going on and got sick of tracking the same predictable nonsense from Tice last year (pass out of 11 personnel, run out of 12...), but we're happy to be back! It's great to have Bears football again and it's hard to remember a more exciting time as a Bears fan. The Marc Trestman era is here and with it comes exciting potential. Let's start with this before we get into breaking down this week's game.

By now, we all know a bit about Marc Trestman's offense. West Coast ideals, get the ball out fast, RB involved in the passing game, spread the defense out horizontally, etc. What nobody has discussed, however, is the effect that Trestman will have on the defense. I mean indirectly, of course, as he has effectively left the defense in place. Our defense is still predicated on the Tampa 2. It's basically the same thing that it has been. So what the hell am I talking about? Well, think about it for a minute. What is the primary function of the Tampa 2? It is to take away the big play. Keep everything in front of you. Force the opposing offense to sustain long drives if they are to score. Now let's take it a step further. In what situation will this defense be most effective? Well, with a lead of course. After all, forcing the opposition to dink and dunk their way down the field while chewing up the clock doesn't do too much good when behind in the game. With a lead, however, this defense becomes suffocating. This leads directly to my point. For as good as Lovie Smith's defenses always were, the offenses were never able to sustain periods of potency. There were about 7 weeks of offensive production in '06. Remember? That offensive production coupled with this defense had the entire nation talking about a possible 16-0 season. The media was ready to crown our ass. As we soon found out, though, that offensive production was not sustainable. Marc Trestman in the past has proven that his offenses can sustain production throughout an entire season(s). So we should be excited about not only the extra points which this offense should deliver, but also what those extra points will mean for this defense.

So, now onto the win over the Bengals. Lots to like about this game. During the game, I jotted down the following; "why is the offense so conservative?" After the game, we found out why. Marc Trestman said that his biggest priority through the first half was to keep Jay Cutler clean. He did that. The quarterback whisperer apparently realizes the importance of Jay's confidence in the pocket. We've all seen how his footwork deteriorates when he starts taking hits and apparently Coach Trestman has seen this as well. So, between getting the ball out quickly and great play by the O-Line, Cutler displayed good footwork the whole game and his comfort in the pocket was clear. Let's hope that this keeps up all season.

Before we move on, how about a quick word about the line play? When was the last time anyone can remember our O-Line playing better than our D-Line? Kyle Long is a beast. Plain and simple. I don't think I could name 10 offensive guards in the NFL I'd rather have. He did make a couple mental mistakes (once picking Forte on a dig route), but these should quickly be cleaned up. It's also hard not to be impressed by fellow rookie Jordan Mills at RT. I'm not sure if he's really as good as he looks, but he played well at Louisiana Tech and at the Senior Bowl, so he definitely has the potential.

As for our D-Line, what was that? Peppers looked genuinely dis-interested during the first half. He even appeared to be avoiding contact. It was very strange. His intensity did pick up in the second half, though his production did not. Stephen Paea, however, was quite disruptive. He was consistently getting pressure up the middle and his tremendous strength seemed to finally be evident in his play on the field. It is just one week, so let's not get too excited just yet, but if his play this week was representative at all of what we can expect moving forward, then this D-Line could be truly elite.

The rest of the defense (other than the flu-ridden Charles Tillman) seemed to struggle a bit as well. There was sloppy tackling (including a couple missed tackles by Lance Briggs, which was very surprising) and a consistent failure to get off the field on 3rd down. When it mattered the most though, we stepped it up in the second half and allowed the offense the opportunity to complete the comeback and get the W.

Finally, here's how we did it:
Now, a couple notes about the chart. First, I left off the last 6 plays when we were trying to run out the clock. These were all runs. Second, this doesn't distinguish whether or not we were in the shotgun formation, but Coach Trestman clearly loves the shotgun. We were in the shotgun 27 of the 55 plays listed here. We ran the ball on 6 of those 27 plays. Anyway, we clearly threw the ball more than we ran it. This is to be expected. I was pleased that we remained unpredictable out of 21 personnel and the run/pass ratio was about the same whether we were in 11 or 12 personnel. This will help keep defenses off balance.

When it's all said and done, it was just one week. But it was a great win and this could be a sign of great things to come. Let's get this winner against the Vikings to get to 2-0. We'll be back next week with more detail. Bear Down!!