Forte Update

Don’t get excited, nothing has happened.  We do have new information that may explain why.  According to Jason Cole of Yahoo Sports, Forte is looking for a deal in the range of Chris Johnson or Adrian Peterson’s.  As we’ve said before here on Bears Playbook, the market seems to be set for a player of Forte’s caliber.  That market is clearly about 5 years, $40 - $43 million total with $20 - $21 million guaranteed.  That is not even close to the 6yr/$55M/$30M guaranteed contract that Chris Johnson signed, let alone Peterson’s deal.  If this report is true, here’s what it means for the Bears:

1. A long term deal will likely not get done and Forte will play this season under the franchise tag.
2. It is possible that the Bears would pursue a trade, although finding a trade partner will be difficult if Forte won't sign for less than that much money.
3. Provided that Forte does indeed play under the tag this year, the Bears will revisit negotiations next year and hope to get something done then.

As far as revisiting negotiations next season, there is a possibility that things will go smoother then than they are right now.  First off, let’s note that Ray Rice of the Baltimore Ravens (a player of comparable talent to Forte) has also requested A.P. type money and he’s also playing under the tag this season.  The potential game-changer in this situation is Eagles RB LeSean McCoy.  He offers a similar skill set to both Forte and Rice and should be paid comparably.  He is currently in the last year of his rookie deal and both he and the Eagles are eager to get a deal done this season.  If he were to sign for a number close to the Foster deal, it would put another top RB in that price range and would give Forte (and Rice) little reason to keep asking for more than that.  Currently, these two players are no doubt saying that they should be paid more than DeAngelo Williams (the significantly overpriced deal that threw a monkey wrench into this situation in the first place).  If, however, McCoy were to sign a deal comparable to Foster’s, it would be significantly easier for the teams to argue that Williams’ contract was overpriced as opposed to Foster’s and McCoy’s deals both being underpriced.  At that time, Forte may realize that he simply won’t get more money than those deals and may be open to a more reasonable long term deal.